Total installed capacity of electric power in Nepal is around 748 MW as of 2013. But maximum demand is about 1026.6 MW(2012 NEA report). There is a total gap of more then 300MW in general . Major crisis is in the spring and winter seasons where production of Hydropower plant even fall to the more minimum level upto 500MW because most of plant are run off river type.
Still it shows of 50% percent of power is shortage in the maximum peak demand in drought seasons.
How we can decrease this much of gap? Well big Hydropower is a time consuming project and it will take more then 4yrs for the completion , in the case of Nepal. These are major projects
Name of the Project Installed capacity Project started time Ending time
1) Upper Tamakoshi project (456MW) May 18 2011 5yrs (extended upto 2015)
2) Kulekhani III Hydropower Project (14MW) April 27, 2008 December 14, 2014
3) Chameliya Hydro Electric Project (30MW) 2007 2013( extended to March 2015)
4) Rahughat Hydro Electric Project (32MW) 2010/11 2016
5) Upper Trishuli 3A Hydro Electric Project (60MW) 1st June 2011 35 months(not completed)
6) West Seti Hydropower Project (750MW) - -
Total Under construction = ( 1342MW )
Lets imagine that the whole project will be complete by year 2021 then data shows that in 2021 maximum demand will be rise of about 1000 MW, which again installed capacity will be less then demand capacity. So it is not easy to say that Nepal load-shedding problem will be completely end by the 2021 but I am pretty sure that if megha project will not come to exist and new more project will not be added then load shedding will remains as it is for one more decade.
